Black Friday can hurt your finances by exploiting shopping psychology. It’s essential to understand the tactics that encourage excessive spending.

Black Friday Shopping Statistics

This year, a staggering 186.9 million shoppers are expected to hit stores from Thanksgiving through Cyber Monday, according to data from the National Retail Federation (NRF). This marks an increase of over 3 million from last year’s record of 183.4 million.

Black Friday stands out as the peak shopping day, with 70% of consumers ready to swipe their cards.

NRF also predicts a growth in retail spending during November and December of 3.7% to 4.2% compared to 2024, translating to $1.01 trillion to $1.02 trillion. In contrast, last year’s holiday sales saw a 4.3% increase over 2023, totaling $976.1 billion.

Why Black Friday Can Be Costly

For retailers, Black Friday is a monumental event, akin to their Super Bowl. They aim to attract eager holiday shoppers with substantial discounts. But are these really the best offers available?

According to Scott Rick, a Behavioral Economist and Associate Professor at the University of Michigan’s Ross School of Business, Black Friday deals often aren’t significantly different from those throughout the year. Retailers frequently label sales as “Black Friday Sale” or “Cyber Monday Sale,” leading consumers to believe they are getting exceptional prices. “Many shoppers lack high 'sales literacy' and don’t fully grasp the value of discounts available year-round,” Rick explains. “We associate Black Friday with special deals, which skews our perception of their true value.”

Consider “doorbuster deals.” These items, whether it's a TV or a set of towels, are typically sold at minimal profit to attract customers. Retailers assume that if you miss out on a doorbuster, you might still spend on higher-priced items. “These loss leader products draw crowds, encouraging purchases of more profitable items once customers are in-store,” Rick adds. “Shoppers who fail to grab a doorbuster often seek pricier alternatives.”

Retailers are also skilled at exploiting our fear of missing out (FOMO). Many products are advertised at special prices for a limited time. Countdown clocks on websites heighten urgency, prompting quick purchases. Remember, there's still ample time before the holidays, and more deals will emerge.

Strategies to Avoid Overspending

Chances are, your inbox is flooded with enticing Black Friday offers. It’s easy to get swept up in the excitement, which is why Black Friday can be detrimental for avid shoppers. But by understanding retailer strategies and employing your own techniques, you can manage your spending.

Start by setting a clear budget. Decide on a spending limit for Black Friday, Cyber Monday, or the entire holiday season. Another classic tip? Use cash when possible, as it’s tougher to part with physical money.

Just as stores employ psychological tactics, you can use similar strategies. As Rick suggests, create “psychological speed bumps” to slow your decision-making. For example, remove saved credit card info from online shopping profiles to add extra steps that make you pause before buying.

Another effective approach? Team up with a friend or family member while shopping to help monitor your spending. “My wife is always there to rein me in when I’m shopping for our kids,” Rick shares. “I tend to go overboard if I’m left alone.”

Final Thoughts

While retailers manipulate us to shop, we can take control. By being mindful of their strategies and implementing our own tactics, we can avoid overspending this holiday season.